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Red15
7495.5
263510.2
634311.6
Blue41
95677.1
466212.9
281128.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions487701001501541

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11.62.1
20.418.3
Auto4.2
Teleop5.9
End1.6
blue by 17.3
28.92.0
37.635.6
Auto10.7
Teleop14.1
End4.1
Second
10.22.1
13.311.2
Auto4.4
Teleop4.3
End1.6
blue by 2.6
12.92.0
14.512.5
Auto7.3
Teleop4.0
End1.6
Third
749
#19
5.52.1
12.810.7
Auto2.6
Teleop2.6
End0.3
blue by 1.7
9567
#13
7.12.0
14.412.4
Auto3.3
Teleop3.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed38%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed79%Ensemble oddsMissed