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Red46
154018.9
247121.7
237414.0
Blue38
273311.6
36364.7
644328.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89650501001504638

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2471
#11
21.72.5
33.430.8
Auto8.2
Teleop11.7
End1.8
blue by 7.1
28.71.6
34.032.4
Auto9.1
Teleop18.3
End1.4
Second
18.92.5
27.825.2
Auto5.9
Teleop11.3
End1.8
red by 7.3
11.61.6
15.113.5
Auto5.7
Teleop4.2
End1.6
Third
2374
#16
14.02.5
16.614.1
Auto6.7
Teleop7.2
End0.2
red by 9.4
3636
#17
4.71.6
12.911.3
Auto3.4
Teleop1.5
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
79%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
34%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed