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Red37
9555.7
9977.3
142521.7
Blue10
99900.8
25505.7
703414.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6044020801001203710

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.71.5
25.023.5
Auto11.9
Teleop6.0
End3.7
red by 7.0
7034
#12
14.62.1
22.720.5
Auto8.1
Teleop5.6
End0.9
Second
997
#10
7.31.5
14.813.3
Auto2.7
Teleop3.1
End1.4
red by 1.5
2550
#18
5.72.1
14.111.9
Auto2.1
Teleop2.1
End1.6
Third
955
#20
5.71.5
12.410.9
Auto2.7
Teleop2.5
End0.5
red by 4.9
9990
#14
0.83.6
5.41.9
Auto1.3
Teleop-0.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
59%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed