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Red26
273311.6
95677.1
46927.7
Blue30
281128.9
95713.0
36364.7
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3678020601001201402630

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11.60.9
13.512.6
Auto5.7
Teleop4.2
End1.6
blue by 17.3
28.92.4
35.633.2
Auto10.7
Teleop14.1
End4.1
Second
4692
#15
7.70.9
11.911.0
Auto3.0
Teleop3.3
End1.5
blue by 5.2
957
#3
13.02.4
18.516.1
Auto2.6
Teleop9.1
End1.3
Third
9567
#13
7.10.9
12.411.4
Auto3.3
Teleop3.2
End0.7
red by 2.5
3636
#17
4.72.4
11.38.9
Auto3.4
Teleop1.5
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed50%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed36%Ensemble oddsMissed