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Red46
46927.7
703414.6
142521.7
Blue52
634311.6
644328.7
466212.9
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions506002040801001204652

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.70.4
22.922.5
Auto11.9
Teleop6.0
End3.7
blue by 7.1
28.70.1
27.927.8
Auto9.1
Teleop18.3
End1.4
Second
7034
#12
14.60.4
15.314.9
Auto8.1
Teleop5.6
End0.9
red by 1.8
12.90.1
13.313.2
Auto7.3
Teleop4.0
End1.6
Third
4692
#15
7.70.4
8.78.3
Auto3.0
Teleop3.3
End1.5
blue by 3.9
11.60.1
12.011.9
Auto4.2
Teleop5.9
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsMissed34%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed