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Red33
247121.7
7495.5
95677.1
Blue7
99900.8
9555.7
36364.7
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions458020406080100337

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2471
#11
21.70.3
23.022.8
Auto8.2
Teleop11.7
End1.8
red by 15.9
955
#20
5.70.3
6.46.1
Auto2.7
Teleop2.5
End0.5
Second
9567
#13
7.10.3
7.87.5
Auto3.3
Teleop3.2
End0.7
red by 2.5
3636
#17
4.70.3
4.34.1
Auto3.4
Teleop1.5
End-0.2
Third
749
#19
5.50.3
6.15.8
Auto2.6
Teleop2.6
End0.3
red by 4.6
9990
#14
0.80.4
0.3-0.1
Auto1.3
Teleop-0.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed3%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed