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Red19
25505.7
95713.0
9977.3
Blue44
263510.2
273311.6
237414.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323701020506070801944

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
957
#3
13.00.7
15.014.3
Auto2.6
Teleop9.1
End1.3
blue by 1.1
2374
#16
14.00.4
12.813.2
Auto6.7
Teleop7.2
End0.2
Second
997
#10
7.30.7
8.07.3
Auto2.7
Teleop3.1
End1.4
blue by 4.4
11.60.4
11.411.8
Auto5.7
Teleop4.2
End1.6
Third
2550
#18
5.70.7
6.86.1
Auto2.1
Teleop2.1
End1.6
blue by 4.5
10.20.4
9.29.6
Auto4.4
Teleop4.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed