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Red53
7495.5
281128.9
154018.9
Blue24
466212.9
9555.7
46927.7
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions672504060801001205324

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.90.3
30.229.8
Auto10.7
Teleop14.1
End4.1
red by 16.1
12.90.4
13.212.8
Auto7.3
Teleop4.0
End1.6
Second
18.90.3
20.219.8
Auto5.9
Teleop11.3
End1.8
red by 11.2
4692
#15
7.70.4
8.37.9
Auto3.0
Teleop3.3
End1.5
Third
749
#19
5.50.3
5.85.5
Auto2.6
Teleop2.6
End0.3
blue by 0.3
955
#20
5.70.4
6.15.7
Auto2.7
Teleop2.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsEarned12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
38%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed