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Red20
25505.7
634311.6
95677.1
Blue53
142521.7
247121.7
95713.0
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions227204060801001202053

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11.60.4
11.911.6
Auto4.2
Teleop5.9
End1.6
blue by 10.1
21.71.1
22.521.4
Auto11.9
Teleop6.0
End3.7
Second
9567
#13
7.10.4
7.57.1
Auto3.3
Teleop3.2
End0.7
blue by 14.5
2471
#11
21.71.1
22.821.7
Auto8.2
Teleop11.7
End1.8
Third
2550
#18
5.70.4
6.15.7
Auto2.1
Teleop2.1
End1.6
blue by 7.2
957
#3
13.01.1
14.313.2
Auto2.6
Teleop9.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed69%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed