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Red65
703414.6
154018.9
281128.9
Blue25
634311.6
466212.9
263510.2
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions783202040601001201406525

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.90.0
29.829.8
Auto10.7
Teleop14.1
End4.1
red by 16.1
12.90.2
12.812.6
Auto7.3
Teleop4.0
End1.6
Second
18.90.0
19.819.8
Auto5.9
Teleop11.3
End1.8
red by 7.3
11.60.2
11.611.3
Auto4.2
Teleop5.9
End1.6
Third
7034
#12
14.60.0
15.515.5
Auto8.1
Teleop5.6
End0.9
red by 4.4
10.20.2
10.210.0
Auto4.4
Teleop4.3
End1.6