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Red32
142521.7
237414.0
7495.5
Blue38
95713.0
263510.2
703414.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5453354045505560653238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.71.1
23.522.4
Auto11.9
Teleop6.0
End3.7
red by 7.0
7034
#12
14.62.0
20.518.5
Auto8.1
Teleop5.6
End0.9
Second
2374
#16
14.01.1
14.113.0
Auto6.7
Teleop7.2
End0.2
red by 1.1
957
#3
13.02.0
16.114.1
Auto2.6
Teleop9.1
End1.3
Third
749
#19
5.51.1
10.79.6
Auto2.6
Teleop2.6
End0.3
blue by 4.8
10.22.0
11.29.2
Auto4.4
Teleop4.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
46%Melody oddsMissed37%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsEarned