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Red49
466212.9
9977.3
247121.7
Blue33
154018.9
46927.7
25505.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions625002040801001204933

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2471
#11
21.70.5
29.028.5
Auto8.2
Teleop11.7
End1.8
red by 2.7
18.91.6
25.223.7
Auto5.9
Teleop11.3
End1.8
Second
12.90.5
12.511.9
Auto7.3
Teleop4.0
End1.6
red by 5.1
4692
#15
7.71.6
11.09.4
Auto3.0
Teleop3.3
End1.5
Third
997
#10
7.30.5
13.312.8
Auto2.7
Teleop3.1
End1.4
red by 1.5
2550
#18
5.71.6
10.38.8
Auto2.1
Teleop2.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
44%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed31%Ensemble oddsMissed