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Red42
956715.2
644313.0
321814.0
Blue19
94386.8
26359.9
292614.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363110204050604219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9567
#10
15.20.5
8.28.7
Auto5.5
Teleop6.4
End3.4
red by 1.0
2926
#19
14.21.1
11.810.7
Auto8.0
Teleop5.4
End0.8
Second
14.00.5
15.516.0
Auto2.4
Teleop9.0
End2.6
red by 4.1
2635
#18
9.91.1
9.07.9
Auto1.9
Teleop5.5
End2.6
Third
6443
#14
13.00.5
8.69.1
Auto3.5
Teleop8.0
End1.5
red by 6.3
9438
#16
6.81.1
7.86.7
Auto1.1
Teleop4.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsEarned22%Ensemble oddsMissed