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Red10
41274.5
546812.1
9558.6
Blue26
74913.3
27339.2
29158.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions362501020304050601026

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5468
#23
12.13.2
11.48.2
Auto4.5
Teleop5.9
End1.7
blue by 1.2
749
#8
13.30.3
6.25.8
Auto6.2
Teleop5.2
End1.9
Second
955
#17
8.63.2
12.49.2
Auto3.4
Teleop3.5
End1.6
blue by 0.6
2733
#24
9.20.3
10.410.0
Auto4.6
Teleop3.0
End1.6
Third
4127
#31
4.53.2
7.84.6
Auto2.2
Teleop2.1
End0.1
blue by 3.8
2915
#28
8.30.3
7.67.2
Auto3.9
Teleop3.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed