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Red36
367424.5
292614.2
41274.5
Blue64
26359.9
956715.2
448824.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334301020506070803664

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.50.5
19.019.5
Auto9.6
Teleop12.5
End2.3
red by 0.2
24.22.4
20.823.2
Auto8.9
Teleop13.4
End1.9
Second
2926
#19
14.20.5
8.38.9
Auto8.0
Teleop5.4
End0.8
blue by 1.0
9567
#10
15.22.4
10.813.2
Auto5.5
Teleop6.4
End3.4
Third
4127
#31
4.50.5
4.04.5
Auto2.2
Teleop2.1
End0.1
blue by 5.4
2635
#18
9.92.4
6.28.5
Auto1.9
Teleop5.5
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed29%Ensemble oddsEarned