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Red41
255721.1
321814.0
94386.8
Blue35
135914.1
154015.5
96008.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393510203050604135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.10.7
13.414.1
Auto7.6
Teleop10.5
End2.9
red by 5.6
1540
#12
15.50.1
10.810.7
Auto6.0
Teleop7.0
End2.4
Second
14.00.7
15.215.9
Auto2.4
Teleop9.0
End2.6
blue by 0.1
1359
#13
14.10.1
10.110.1
Auto4.6
Teleop7.4
End2.0
Third
9438
#16
6.80.7
6.47.1
Auto1.1
Teleop4.6
End1.1
blue by 1.8
9600
#29
8.60.1
10.810.7
Auto3.9
Teleop3.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed