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Red40
154015.5
9558.6
292614.2
Blue29
546812.1
956715.2
46627.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3229102040504029

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1540
#12
15.51.1
10.711.8
Auto6.0
Teleop7.0
End2.4
red by 0.2
9567
#10
15.20.1
13.213.1
Auto5.5
Teleop6.4
End3.4
Second
2926
#19
14.21.1
8.910.0
Auto8.0
Teleop5.4
End0.8
red by 2.1
5468
#23
12.10.1
8.68.5
Auto4.5
Teleop5.9
End1.7
Third
955
#17
8.61.1
7.88.9
Auto3.4
Teleop3.5
End1.6
red by 0.9
4662
#20
7.70.1
6.16.0
Auto3.7
Teleop2.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed