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Red35
26359.9
367424.5
59207.9
Blue31
644313.0
683110.1
74913.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4131010205060703531

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.50.1
19.519.4
Auto9.6
Teleop12.5
End2.3
red by 11.2
749
#8
13.30.2
8.78.9
Auto6.2
Teleop5.2
End1.9
Second
2635
#18
9.90.1
8.58.4
Auto1.9
Teleop5.5
End2.6
blue by 3.1
6443
#14
13.00.2
11.011.2
Auto3.5
Teleop8.0
End1.5
Third
5920
#21
7.90.1
7.97.8
Auto2.5
Teleop3.5
End1.9
blue by 2.3
6831
#26
10.10.2
9.59.7
Auto3.9
Teleop5.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed