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Red57
135914.1
281125.6
26359.9
Blue16
46627.7
94386.8
29158.3
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50160102030406070805716

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.61.2
23.524.8
Auto8.5
Teleop12.3
End4.8
red by 17.3
2915
#28
8.30.3
7.06.7
Auto3.9
Teleop3.1
End1.3
Second
1359
#13
14.11.3
9.410.8
Auto4.6
Teleop7.4
End2.0
red by 6.4
4662
#20
7.70.3
6.05.8
Auto3.7
Teleop2.9
End1.1
Third
2635
#18
9.91.2
8.29.5
Auto1.9
Teleop5.5
End2.6
red by 3.2
9438
#16
6.80.3
5.85.5
Auto1.1
Teleop4.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
46%Ensemble oddsEarned5%Ensemble oddsMissed