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Red45
956715.2
74913.3
154015.5
Blue34
84711.0
546812.1
96135.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions392101030506070804534

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1540
#12
15.51.0
11.712.7
Auto6.0
Teleop7.0
End2.4
red by 3.3
5468
#23
12.11.1
9.410.5
Auto4.5
Teleop5.9
End1.7
Second
9567
#10
15.21.1
13.314.5
Auto5.5
Teleop6.4
End3.4
red by 4.2
847
#9
11.01.1
8.09.1
Auto5.2
Teleop3.3
End2.5
Third
749
#8
13.31.0
8.29.2
Auto6.2
Teleop5.2
End1.9
red by 7.5
9613
#30
5.81.1
4.15.2
Auto2.0
Teleop3.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsEarned6%Ensemble oddsMissed