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Red33
59207.9
448824.2
96008.6
Blue52
40617.8
135914.1
367424.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454302060801003352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.20.7
23.322.6
Auto8.9
Teleop13.4
End1.9
blue by 0.2
24.50.7
20.521.2
Auto9.6
Teleop12.5
End2.3
Second
9600
#29
8.60.7
9.28.5
Auto3.9
Teleop3.5
End1.2
blue by 5.5
1359
#13
14.10.7
10.811.5
Auto4.6
Teleop7.4
End2.0
Third
5920
#21
7.90.7
8.07.4
Auto2.5
Teleop3.5
End1.9
Level
4061
#11
7.80.7
7.88.5
Auto3.6
Teleop2.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed