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Red17
9558.6
683110.1
94386.8
Blue16
25508.7
321814.0
27339.2
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2241010305060701716

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6831
#26
10.10.5
8.07.6
Auto3.9
Teleop5.5
End0.7
blue by 3.9
14.01.8
16.714.9
Auto2.4
Teleop9.0
End2.6
Second
955
#17
8.60.4
8.37.8
Auto3.4
Teleop3.5
End1.6
blue by 0.6
2733
#24
9.21.7
10.38.6
Auto4.6
Teleop3.0
End1.6
Third
9438
#16
6.80.4
5.55.1
Auto1.1
Teleop4.6
End1.1
blue by 1.9
2550
#22
8.71.7
7.66.0
Auto2.5
Teleop3.4
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsMissed