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Red33
59707.1
943018.5
96008.6
Blue57
634311.7
292614.2
546812.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313610204050603357

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.50.4
14.715.1
Auto7.2
Teleop9.2
End2.1
red by 4.3
2926
#19
14.21.3
11.112.4
Auto8.0
Teleop5.4
End0.8
Second
9600
#29
8.60.4
8.58.9
Auto3.9
Teleop3.5
End1.2
blue by 3.5
5468
#23
12.11.2
10.511.7
Auto4.5
Teleop5.9
End1.7
Third
5970
#25
7.10.4
5.25.6
Auto2.8
Teleop3.6
End0.7
blue by 4.6
6343
#15
11.71.3
10.311.6
Auto2.4
Teleop7.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed