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Red63
94386.8
367424.5
74913.3
Blue37
292614.2
29158.3
59207.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions412801020506070806337

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.51.8
21.223.0
Auto9.6
Teleop12.5
End2.3
red by 10.3
2926
#19
14.20.9
12.413.3
Auto8.0
Teleop5.4
End0.8
Second
749
#8
13.31.8
9.211.1
Auto6.2
Teleop5.2
End1.9
red by 4.9
2915
#28
8.30.9
6.77.7
Auto3.9
Teleop3.1
End1.3
Third
9438
#16
6.81.8
5.16.9
Auto1.1
Teleop4.6
End1.1
blue by 1.1
5920
#21
7.90.9
7.48.2
Auto2.5
Teleop3.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsEarned7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed