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Red49
448824.2
84711.0
46627.7
Blue41
943018.5
644313.0
25508.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4534010203040506070804941

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.20.8
22.623.4
Auto8.9
Teleop13.4
End1.9
red by 5.7
18.50.7
15.115.8
Auto7.2
Teleop9.2
End2.1
Second
847
#9
11.00.8
9.19.9
Auto5.2
Teleop3.3
End2.5
blue by 2.0
6443
#14
13.00.7
11.312.0
Auto3.5
Teleop8.0
End1.5
Third
4662
#20
7.70.8
7.58.3
Auto3.7
Teleop2.9
End1.1
blue by 1.0
2550
#22
8.70.7
6.06.7
Auto2.5
Teleop3.4
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsEarned7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed33%Ensemble oddsMissed