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Red35
363612.1
646510.3
154019.0
Blue51
404330.4
74912.8
36735.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49371020306070803551

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1540
#12
19.00.7
15.514.8
Auto8.7
Teleop5.8
End4.5
blue by 11.4
30.41.2
12.213.4
Auto12.3
Teleop16.6
End1.5
Second
3636
#24
12.11.1
18.016.9
Auto4.4
Teleop6.4
End1.3
blue by 0.8
749
#11
12.80.7
13.314.0
Auto4.9
Teleop6.4
End1.5
Third
6465
#21
10.31.1
9.68.5
Auto3.8
Teleop4.1
End2.5
red by 4.7
3673
#23
5.61.2
9.610.8
Auto2.1
Teleop2.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed