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Red38
204630.9
135912.9
30247.6
Blue68
99714.4
237410.1
412519.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52360204060803868

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.91.9
21.219.3
Auto11.1
Teleop16.6
End3.2
red by 11.1
19.81.5
10.912.5
Auto6.7
Teleop12.6
End0.6
Second
1359
#13
12.91.1
14.112.9
Auto4.0
Teleop5.9
End2.9
blue by 1.5
997
#16
14.41.5
12.714.2
Auto4.5
Teleop7.8
End2.0
Third
3024
#27
7.61.9
9.77.8
Auto3.6
Teleop3.4
End0.6
blue by 2.5
10.11.5
10.712.2
Auto2.7
Teleop6.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsEarned11%Ensemble oddsEarned