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Red75
84718.0
252136.2
95717.8
Blue18
299013.5
68456.4
7536.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47401020306070807518

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.23.7
18.322.0
Auto16.9
Teleop17.3
End2.0
red by 22.7
2990
#15
13.52.1
16.814.7
Auto3.7
Teleop6.1
End3.6
Second
847
#10
18.02.2
11.013.2
Auto6.9
Teleop8.8
End2.4
red by 11.4
753
#26
6.72.1
11.49.2
Auto1.8
Teleop3.1
End1.8
Third
957
#7
17.83.7
12.516.1
Auto7.3
Teleop8.2
End2.4
red by 11.4
6845
#19
6.42.1
8.96.8
Auto4.6
Teleop1.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsEarned22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed