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Red47
40609.2
299013.5
247116.8
Blue38
30247.6
367427.2
36735.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4242203050604738

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.80.0
14.314.3
Auto4.5
Teleop11.5
End0.8
blue by 10.4
27.20.7
24.924.2
Auto10.5
Teleop15.0
End1.7
Second
2990
#15
13.50.0
14.214.2
Auto3.7
Teleop6.1
End3.6
red by 5.9
3024
#27
7.61.2
5.64.4
Auto3.6
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Third
4060
#22
9.20.0
8.68.6
Auto2.5
Teleop4.7
End2.0
red by 3.6
3673
#23
5.61.2
8.37.1
Auto2.1
Teleop2.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed