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Red33
99714.4
68456.4
853210.2
Blue61
363612.1
289812.1
404330.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3238102050603361

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
997
#16
14.40.4
11.511.9
Auto4.5
Teleop7.8
End2.0
blue by 16.0
30.42.5
14.617.1
Auto12.3
Teleop16.6
End1.5
Second
8532
#14
10.20.4
10.711.1
Auto2.5
Teleop7.2
End0.6
blue by 1.9
2898
#20
12.12.5
5.47.9
Auto4.6
Teleop7.0
End0.4
Third
6845
#19
6.40.4
7.37.7
Auto4.6
Teleop1.1
End0.6
blue by 5.7
3636
#24
12.12.5
13.516.0
Auto4.4
Teleop6.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed