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Red81
204630.9
99714.4
247116.8
Blue28
646510.3
853210.2
363612.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5836020801008128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.92.9
23.826.7
Auto11.1
Teleop16.6
End3.2
red by 18.9
3636
#24
12.10.8
16.015.2
Auto4.4
Teleop6.4
End1.3
Second
16.82.9
14.317.2
Auto4.5
Teleop11.5
End0.8
red by 6.5
6465
#21
10.30.8
7.97.1
Auto3.8
Teleop4.1
End2.5
Third
997
#16
14.42.9
11.914.8
Auto4.5
Teleop7.8
End2.0
red by 4.1
8532
#14
10.20.8
11.110.3
Auto2.5
Teleop7.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsEarned14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed