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Red27
36735.6
135912.9
40609.2
Blue50
237410.1
37128.9
95717.8
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions314701020406070802750

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1359
#13
12.90.2
14.013.8
Auto4.0
Teleop5.9
End2.9
blue by 5.0
957
#7
17.81.0
19.520.5
Auto7.3
Teleop8.2
End2.4
Second
4060
#22
9.20.3
8.68.3
Auto2.5
Teleop4.7
End2.0
blue by 0.8
10.11.0
11.312.3
Auto2.7
Teleop6.2
End1.1
Third
3673
#23
5.60.3
7.16.8
Auto2.1
Teleop2.8
End0.7
blue by 3.3
3712
#18
8.91.0
9.911.0
Auto2.9
Teleop5.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed36%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed