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Red67
68456.4
412519.8
404330.4
Blue29
154019.0
84718.0
29157.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444120305060706729

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.42.4
17.119.6
Auto12.3
Teleop16.6
End1.5
red by 11.4
1540
#12
19.00.6
14.213.6
Auto8.7
Teleop5.8
End4.5
Second
19.82.4
14.316.7
Auto6.7
Teleop12.6
End0.6
red by 1.8
847
#10
18.00.6
14.113.5
Auto6.9
Teleop8.8
End2.4
Third
6845
#19
6.42.4
7.710.2
Auto4.6
Teleop1.1
End0.6
blue by 1.3
2915
#17
7.80.6
9.28.7
Auto3.2
Teleop3.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsEarned12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed