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Red42
289812.1
412519.8
135912.9
Blue68
154019.0
404330.4
299013.5
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions405720804268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.80.4
18.018.4
Auto6.7
Teleop12.6
End0.6
blue by 10.5
30.42.0
22.924.9
Auto12.3
Teleop16.6
End1.5
Second
1359
#13
12.90.2
13.914.2
Auto4.0
Teleop5.9
End2.9
blue by 6.1
1540
#12
19.01.2
14.315.6
Auto8.7
Teleop5.8
End4.5
Third
2898
#20
12.10.4
6.56.9
Auto4.6
Teleop7.0
End0.4
blue by 1.4
2990
#15
13.51.9
12.414.3
Auto3.7
Teleop6.1
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsEarned22%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsEarned