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Red34
646510.3
29157.8
99714.4
Blue70
252136.2
95512.4
36735.6
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34550204060803470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
997
#16
14.40.7
16.215.6
Auto4.5
Teleop7.8
End2.0
blue by 21.8
36.21.9
32.934.7
Auto16.9
Teleop17.3
End2.0
Second
6465
#21
10.30.7
10.810.1
Auto3.8
Teleop4.1
End2.5
blue by 2.1
955
#5
12.41.2
9.210.4
Auto5.0
Teleop5.7
End1.6
Third
2915
#17
7.80.4
6.56.1
Auto3.2
Teleop3.0
End1.6
red by 2.2
3673
#23
5.61.9
5.06.9
Auto2.1
Teleop2.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsMissed31%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed