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Red26
299013.5
74912.8
135912.9
Blue106
412519.8
363612.1
204630.9
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46722040608010026106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2990
#15
13.51.6
15.814.1
Auto3.7
Teleop6.1
End3.6
blue by 17.5
30.90.9
29.930.8
Auto11.1
Teleop16.6
End3.2
Second
1359
#13
12.91.2
14.112.9
Auto4.0
Teleop5.9
End2.9
blue by 7.0
19.80.8
19.420.2
Auto6.7
Teleop12.6
End0.6
Third
749
#11
12.81.2
14.513.3
Auto4.9
Teleop6.4
End1.5
red by 0.8
3636
#24
12.10.8
12.613.4
Auto4.4
Teleop6.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed82%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed