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Red54
84718.0
36735.6
154019.0
Blue35
99714.4
95717.8
367427.2
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions376802060801005435

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1540
#12
19.01.1
15.516.6
Auto8.7
Teleop5.8
End4.5
blue by 8.2
27.21.5
25.924.4
Auto10.5
Teleop15.0
End1.7
Second
847
#10
18.01.1
15.416.5
Auto6.9
Teleop8.8
End2.4
red by 0.2
957
#7
17.82.2
18.716.5
Auto7.3
Teleop8.2
End2.4
Third
3673
#23
5.61.5
6.58.0
Auto2.1
Teleop2.8
End0.7
blue by 8.8
997
#16
14.42.1
13.511.4
Auto4.5
Teleop7.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed42%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed