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Red73
29157.8
40609.2
404330.4
Blue52
289812.1
95512.4
646510.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44290102040506070807352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.42.5
25.828.3
Auto12.3
Teleop16.6
End1.5
red by 18.0
955
#5
12.40.9
10.111.0
Auto5.0
Teleop5.7
End1.6
Second
4060
#22
9.22.5
6.89.2
Auto2.5
Teleop4.7
End2.0
blue by 2.9
2898
#20
12.11.2
8.49.6
Auto4.6
Teleop7.0
End0.4
Third
2915
#17
7.81.8
5.87.7
Auto3.2
Teleop3.0
End1.6
blue by 2.5
6465
#21
10.31.2
9.811.0
Auto3.8
Teleop4.1
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsEarned19%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsEarned