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Red56
37128.9
252136.2
68456.4
Blue34
30247.6
7536.7
247116.8
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions602802040801005634

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.20.0
35.135.1
Auto16.9
Teleop17.3
End2.0
red by 19.4
16.80.0
16.116.1
Auto4.5
Teleop11.5
End0.8
Second
3712
#18
8.90.0
9.59.5
Auto2.9
Teleop5.2
End0.8
red by 1.3
3024
#27
7.60.0
6.96.9
Auto3.6
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Third
6845
#19
6.40.0
6.26.2
Auto4.6
Teleop1.1
End0.6
blue by 0.3
753
#26
6.70.0
6.06.0
Auto1.8
Teleop3.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
49%Melody oddsEarned10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed