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Red42
853210.2
154019.0
74912.8
Blue24
59754.0
36735.6
412519.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46340204060801004224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1540
#12
19.00.6
17.116.5
Auto8.7
Teleop5.8
End4.5
blue by 0.9
19.80.7
20.219.5
Auto6.7
Teleop12.6
End0.6
Second
749
#11
12.80.6
13.312.7
Auto4.9
Teleop6.4
End1.5
red by 7.3
3673
#23
5.60.7
8.07.3
Auto2.1
Teleop2.8
End0.7
Third
8532
#14
10.20.7
10.19.4
Auto2.5
Teleop7.2
End0.6
red by 6.2
5975
#25
4.00.7
4.33.6
Auto1.9
Teleop0.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed46%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed