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Red80
95512.4
367427.2
404330.4
Blue30
84718.0
237410.1
40609.2
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions763302040601001208030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.40.5
28.328.8
Auto12.3
Teleop16.6
End1.5
red by 12.3
847
#10
18.00.5
16.516.1
Auto6.9
Teleop8.8
End2.4
Second
27.20.4
24.424.8
Auto10.5
Teleop15.0
End1.7
red by 17.1
10.10.6
9.18.5
Auto2.7
Teleop6.2
End1.1
Third
955
#5
12.40.4
11.011.4
Auto5.0
Teleop5.7
End1.6
red by 3.2
4060
#22
9.20.6
9.28.7
Auto2.5
Teleop4.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
64%Melody oddsEarned28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed