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Red47
68456.4
204630.9
29157.8
Blue43
37128.9
299013.5
646510.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions523602060801004743

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.90.3
31.431.2
Auto11.1
Teleop16.6
End3.2
red by 17.5
2990
#15
13.51.1
14.113.0
Auto3.7
Teleop6.1
End3.6
Second
2915
#17
7.80.2
7.77.4
Auto3.2
Teleop3.0
End1.6
blue by 2.5
6465
#21
10.31.1
11.09.9
Auto3.8
Teleop4.1
End2.5
Third
6845
#19
6.40.3
6.25.9
Auto4.6
Teleop1.1
End0.6
blue by 2.5
3712
#18
8.91.1
9.58.4
Auto2.9
Teleop5.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
54%Melody oddsMissed33%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed