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Red16
74912.8
40609.2
289812.1
Blue45
95717.8
412519.8
37128.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35411020305060701645

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
749
#11
12.81.4
14.012.6
Auto4.9
Teleop6.4
End1.5
blue by 7.0
19.81.0
12.513.4
Auto6.7
Teleop12.6
End0.6
Second
2898
#20
12.12.4
8.86.3
Auto4.6
Teleop7.0
End0.4
blue by 5.7
957
#7
17.81.0
16.117.1
Auto7.3
Teleop8.2
End2.4
Third
4060
#22
9.22.4
9.97.5
Auto2.5
Teleop4.7
End2.0
red by 0.3
3712
#18
8.91.0
7.88.8
Auto2.9
Teleop5.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed33%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed