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Red89
367427.2
7536.7
252136.2
Blue21
59754.0
99714.4
36735.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions643402040801001208921

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.22.7
22.024.8
Auto16.9
Teleop17.3
End2.0
red by 21.8
997
#16
14.41.5
14.212.7
Auto4.5
Teleop7.8
End2.0
Second
27.21.6
23.124.8
Auto10.5
Teleop15.0
End1.7
red by 21.6
3673
#23
5.61.5
10.89.3
Auto2.1
Teleop2.8
End0.7
Third
753
#26
6.72.7
9.212.0
Auto1.8
Teleop3.1
End1.8
red by 2.7
5975
#25
4.01.5
9.68.1
Auto1.9
Teleop0.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsEarned22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed