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Red25
29157.8
853210.2
95512.4
Blue34
135912.9
247116.8
68456.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274102060801002534

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
955
#5
12.40.4
7.26.8
Auto5.0
Teleop5.7
End1.6
blue by 4.4
16.80.4
15.715.3
Auto4.5
Teleop11.5
End0.8
Second
8532
#14
10.20.7
11.610.9
Auto2.5
Teleop7.2
End0.6
blue by 2.6
1359
#13
12.90.2
12.912.7
Auto4.0
Teleop5.9
End2.9
Third
2915
#17
7.80.4
7.67.1
Auto3.2
Teleop3.0
End1.6
red by 1.3
6845
#19
6.40.4
6.86.4
Auto4.6
Teleop1.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed