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Red78
367427.2
404330.4
7536.7
Blue70
95717.8
646510.3
412519.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7249204060801001201407870

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.40.3
29.830.1
Auto12.3
Teleop16.6
End1.5
red by 10.5
19.80.3
19.619.9
Auto6.7
Teleop12.6
End0.6
Second
27.20.3
26.626.9
Auto10.5
Teleop15.0
End1.7
red by 9.3
957
#7
17.80.3
17.617.9
Auto7.3
Teleop8.2
End2.4
Third
753
#26
6.70.3
6.16.4
Auto1.8
Teleop3.1
End1.8
blue by 3.6
6465
#21
10.30.3
10.110.3
Auto3.8
Teleop4.1
End2.5