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Red44
237410.1
135912.9
299013.5
Blue67
853210.2
247116.8
363612.1
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39411020305060704467

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2990
#15
13.50.2
13.313.5
Auto3.7
Teleop6.1
End3.6
blue by 3.3
16.80.5
16.116.7
Auto4.5
Teleop11.5
End0.8
Second
1359
#13
12.90.2
12.712.9
Auto4.0
Teleop5.9
End2.9
red by 0.8
3636
#24
12.10.5
11.411.9
Auto4.4
Teleop6.4
End1.3
Third
10.10.2
9.910.1
Auto2.7
Teleop6.2
End1.1
blue by 0.2
8532
#14
10.20.5
9.610.1
Auto2.5
Teleop7.2
End0.6