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Red58
36735.9
448830.8
289812.0
Blue44
68456.8
669617.1
99714.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50340204060805844

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.80.8
25.326.1
Auto10.6
Teleop17.2
End3.0
red by 13.7
6696
#14
17.10.7
12.313.0
Auto8.4
Teleop6.9
End1.8
Second
2898
#19
12.00.8
10.911.7
Auto3.9
Teleop7.3
End0.8
blue by 2.8
997
#24
14.80.7
14.815.5
Auto4.6
Teleop7.5
End2.7
Third
3673
#31
5.90.8
7.58.3
Auto1.3
Teleop4.1
End0.6
blue by 0.8
6845
#33
6.80.7
6.06.7
Auto5.0
Teleop0.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsEarned12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed