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Red38
466214.5
960012.8
634312.1
Blue47
247124.3
154027.1
644325.8
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3678020601001203847

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.50.0
11.311.3
Auto7.1
Teleop4.7
End2.7
blue by 12.6
27.11.2
18.617.4
Auto11.6
Teleop10.8
End4.6
Second
9600
#30
12.80.0
10.010.0
Auto6.0
Teleop5.6
End1.1
blue by 13.1
25.81.2
26.725.5
Auto8.6
Teleop15.9
End1.4
Third
6343
#26
12.10.0
16.316.3
Auto3.5
Teleop6.0
End2.6
blue by 12.1
24.31.2
20.118.8
Auto6.3
Teleop16.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsMissed75%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed26%Ensemble oddsMissed