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Red35
237416.6
7538.6
142517.1
Blue61
363612.9
299018.3
273315.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414420305060703561

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1425
#17
17.10.1
17.617.5
Auto6.4
Teleop6.3
End4.4
blue by 1.2
18.30.1
15.215.3
Auto5.5
Teleop8.7
End4.1
Second
2374
#11
16.60.1
11.511.4
Auto4.9
Teleop11.0
End0.7
red by 1.5
2733
#12
15.10.1
9.59.6
Auto6.2
Teleop7.1
End1.8
Third
753
#23
8.60.1
8.07.9
Auto2.2
Teleop3.9
End2.5
blue by 4.3
3636
#18
12.90.1
14.514.7
Auto4.6
Teleop7.5
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsEarned